Hot Takes
Opinions I hold strongly enough to say out loud on the internet. Some of these are spicy. Some are just things I think people are afraid to admit. Disagree? Good. That's the point.
Last updated March 2026. This page will grow as I accumulate more opinions worth defending.
Fourth Wing Is One of the Worst Books of All Time
I said it. Dragon fantasy romance is not it. I understand the appeal in theory: dragons, war academies, a love interest who's probably a red flag in any other context. But the writing reads like a Wattpad draft that got a book deal because BookTok needed content. The worldbuilding is paper-thin, the dialogue makes me cringe, and the "twists" are visible from orbit.
If you love it, I genuinely respect that. Reading is personal and joy is joy. But as someone who's read Sanderson, Abercrombie, and Kristoff, this felt like someone described a fantasy novel to an AI and asked it to make it "spicier." Hard pass.
AI Is Not Going to Take Our Jobs. It Still Feels Really Scary.
Here's the argument I keep coming back to: we've never seen a cap on what humans want to consume and create. Every time technology makes something cheaper or faster, we don't just do the same thing for less. We invent entirely new categories of demand. When computing got cheap, we didn't just do accounting faster. We invented the internet, streaming, mobile apps, and entire industries that didn't exist before.
AI will do the same thing. The cost of creating content, code, research, and analysis is collapsing. But instead of that killing jobs, I think we shift what we do. I can genuinely imagine a world where you hire a one-person studio to create a custom video game just for you and your partner. Like, a literal bespoke video game, designed and built by one creative person with AI tools over a month. That would be a premium service. That's a job that doesn't exist yet.
The part that's scary isn't the destination. It's the speed. The trends take hold so fast that entire skillsets become obsolete before people have time to retrain. The transition period is where the pain lives. And I don't think we talk about that enough.
Related reading: AI Won't Take All Our Jobs (Bob Hutchins) · What If AI Moves Faster Than Society Can Adjust? (The Hub) · AI Is Changing the World Faster Than Most Realize (Axios)
Elon Musk Is an Incredible Product Shipper (Yes, I Know)
I know this is polarizing. I don't care. Separate the person from the product track record for five minutes and look at what's actually been shipped: reusable rockets that land themselves, a global satellite internet network, electric cars that drive themselves and smoke $190K sports cars off the line, tunnels, brain implants, an AI company. The velocity of execution across that portfolio is unlike anything else in tech history.
Fun fact: I bought a Tesla Model Y, and the social whiplash was hilarious. First, my blue-collar neighbors gave me grief for being "a silly liberal who cares about the environment." A year later, when Elon threw in with Trump, I got it from the other direction. Everyone suddenly had opinions about a car that drives itself, costs $30K, and is faster than almost anything on the road. Meanwhile I'm just sitting in a self-driving car laughing.
You can disagree with someone's politics and still acknowledge they ship at a level most people can't comprehend. From a pure product perspective, as a PM who lives and breathes shipping, the track record is hard to argue with. That's the hot take.
Takes I'm Chewing On
Not fully formed yet, but interesting enough to share. These might become full takes later. Links to the people who are making these arguments better than I can.
The One-Person Billion-Dollar Company Is Coming
Multi-agent AI lets solopreneurs scale to levels that used to require 50+ employees. By 2030, 45% of tech startups may be solo-founded. The moat isn't headcount anymore; it's vision and taste.
Read the argument (Hitesh Rohilla) →AI Productivity Gains Are 10%, Not 10x
The marketing says 10x. Real-world data shows ~10% gains, but compounded across an org that's meaningful. The bottleneck moves; it doesn't disappear. Honest framing matters.
Read the data (DX Newsletter) →Your Scutwork Is Getting Automated. Your Judgment Isn't.
Paul Graham's take: don't ask "which jobs are safe." Ask if you're doing scutwork or operating way above it. AI is brutally good at routine. The moat is nuanced judgment, ethics, and taste.
Read Paul Graham's advice →AI Makes Individuals More Creative but Everyone More Similar
Peer-reviewed research: creators using AI individually feel more creative and produce faster, but because everyone uses the same models, collective output becomes more homogeneous. Differentiation requires going against the AI grain.
Read the study (Science Advances) →The Bespoke 1-Person Creative Studio Is the Future
One-person studios can now generate full indie games in days. As AI floods the market with content, the value shifts to hyper-personalization: custom games, videos, and experiences made just for you. Scarcity moves from creation to curation and taste.
See what's already happening (Creative Bloq) →Got a hot take you think I should hear? Email me. This page grows as I develop the courage to be wrong in public.